cold-takes.com

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Cold Takes

 Genereras på Mars 16 2026 17:36 PM

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Cold Takes

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Egendom Innehåll
site_name Cold Takes
type website
title Cold Takes
description For audio version, search for "Cold Takes Audio" in your podcast app
url https://www.cold-takes.com/

Rubriker

H1 H2 H3 H4 H5 H6
2 105 36 1 0 0
  • [H1] Cold Takes
  • [H1] Subscribe to Cold Takes
  • [H2] Featured posts
  • [H2] All posts
  • [H2] Good job opportunities for helping with the most important century
  • [H2] What does Bing Chat tell us about AI risk?
  • [H2] How major governments can help with the most important century
  • [H2] What AI companies can do today to help with the most important century
  • [H2] Jobs that can help with the most important century
  • [H2] Spreading messages to help with the most important century
  • [H2] How we could stumble into AI catastrophe
  • [H2] Transformative AI issues (not just misalignment): an overview
  • [H2] Racing through a minefield: the AI deployment problem
  • [H2] High-level hopes for AI alignment
  • [H2] AI Safety Seems Hard to Measure
  • [H2] Why Would AI "Aim" To Defeat Humanity?
  • [H2] Beta Readers are Great
  • [H2] The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine
  • [H2] Nonprofit Boards are Weird
  • [H2] AI Could Defeat All Of Us Combined
  • [H2] Useful Vices for Wicked Problems
  • [H2] Ideal governance (for companies, countries and more)
  • [H2] Debating myself on whether “extra lives lived” are as good as “deaths prevented”
  • [H2] Cold Takes reader survey - let me know what you want more and less of!
  • [H2] Programming note
  • [H2] The Wicked Problem Experience
  • [H2] Learning By Writing
  • [H2] Misc thematic links
  • [H2] Defending One-Dimensional Ethics
  • [H2] To Match the Greats, Don’t Follow In Their Footsteps
  • [H2] "Moral progress" vs. the simple passage of time
  • [H2] Investigating musical genius by listening to the Beach Boys a lot
  • [H2] Future-proof ethics
  • [H2] Cost disease and civilizational decline
  • [H2] Reader reactions and update on "Where's Today's Beethoven"
  • [H2] Book non-review: The Dawn of Everything
  • [H2] Empowerment and Stakeholder Management
  • [H2] Assorted cold-ish links
  • [H2] Why it matters if "ideas get harder to find"
  • [H2] How artistic ideas could get harder to find
  • [H2] Seeking beta readers
  • [H2] AI alignment research links
  • [H2] Where's Today's Beethoven?
  • [H2] What counts as death?
  • [H2] Utopia links
  • [H2] Bet with Zvi about Omicron
  • [H2] Bayesian Mindset
  • [H2] Cold Links: misc
  • [H2] Visualizing Utopia
  • [H2] TV shows I wish I could watch: Intergalactic Immigration Wars
  • [H2] Why Describing Utopia Goes Badly
  • [H2] Candidate for “highest-stakes question of the next several months” (rare hot take)
  • [H2] No need to click
  • [H2] Did life get better during the pre-industrial era? (Ehhhh)
  • [H2] Minimal-trust investigations
  • [H2] Tool-assisted speedrunning
  • [H2] “Biological anchors” is about bounding, not pinpointing, AI timelines
  • [H2] Falling everyday violence, bigger wars and atrocities: how do they net out?
  • [H2] Weak point in “most important century”: lock-in
  • [H2] Rowing, Steering, Anchoring, Equity, Mutiny
  • [H2] Hunter-gatherer happiness
  • [H2] Unraveling the evidence about violence among very early humans
  • [H2] Cold Links: nonfiction yarns
  • [H2] Weak point in “most important century”: full automation
  • [H2] Was life better in hunter-gatherer times?
  • [H2] Reading books vs. engaging with them
  • [H2] Pre-agriculture gender relations seem bad
  • [H2] Cold Links: assorted sports longreads
  • [H2] If I were a billion years old
  • [H2] Has life gotten better?: the post-industrial era
  • [H2] “Technological unemployment” AI vs. “most important century” AI: how far apart?
  • [H2] Has Life Gotten Better?
  • [H2] Gell-Mann Earworms
  • [H2] Summary of history (empowerment and well-being lens)
  • [H2] Cold Links: assorted fun basketball stuff
  • [H2] The Most Important Century (in a nutshell)
  • [H2] Why AI alignment could be hard with modern deep learning
  • [H2] Asimov's Chronology of Science and Discovery
  • [H2] Call to Vigilance
  • [H2] How to make the best of the most important century?
  • [H2] One Cold Link: “The Past and Future of Economic Growth: A Semi-Endogenous Perspective”
  • [H2] Medium Lights
  • [H2] AI Timelines: Where the Arguments, and the "Experts," Stand
  • [H2] Cold Links: Useful
  • [H2] Forecasting transformative AI: the "biological anchors" method in a nutshell
  • [H2] More on “multiple world-size economies per atom”
  • [H2] The gloves are off, the pants are on
  • [H2] Are we "trending toward" transformative AI? (How would we know?)
  • [H2] Cold Links: heartwarming sports stuff
  • [H2] Forecasting transformative AI: what's the burden of proof?
  • [H2] A few quick links re: COVID-19/Delta
  • [H2] Give Sports a Chance
  • [H2] Forecasting Transformative AI, Part 1: What Kind of AI?
  • [H2] Why talk about 10,000 years from now?
  • [H2] The Great Depression, Recession and Stagnation in Full Historical Context
  • [H2] This Can't Go On
  • [H2] Imagining yourself as a digital person (two sketches)
  • [H2] Does X cause Y? An in-depth evidence review
  • [H2] Digital People FAQ
  • [H2] Digital People Would Be An Even Bigger Deal
  • [H2] Gallup website notes
  • [H2] Track records for those who have made lots of predictions
  • [H2] The Duplicator: Instant Cloning Would Make the World Economy Explode
  • [H2] Phil Birnbaum's "bad regression" puzzles
  • [H2] Honesty about reading
  • [H2] All Possible Views About Humanity's Future Are Wild
  • [H2] First Post
  • [H3] What does Bing Chat tell us about AI risk?
  • [H3] Jobs that can help with the most important century
  • [H3] Spreading messages to help with the most important century
  • [H3] How we could stumble into AI catastrophe
  • [H3] Transformative AI issues (not just misalignment): an overview
  • [H3] Racing through a minefield: the AI deployment problem
  • [H3] High-level hopes for AI alignment
  • [H3] AI Safety Seems Hard to Measure
  • [H3] Why Would AI "Aim" To Defeat Humanity?
  • [H3] The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine
  • [H3] Nonprofit Boards are Weird
  • [H3] AI Could Defeat All Of Us Combined
  • [H3] Useful Vices for Wicked Problems
  • [H3] Ideal governance (for companies, countries and more)
  • [H3] The Wicked Problem Experience
  • [H3] Learning By Writing
  • [H3] Future-proof ethics
  • [H3] Where's Today's Beethoven?
  • [H3] Visualizing Utopia
  • [H3] Why Describing Utopia Goes Badly
  • [H3] Minimal-trust investigations
  • [H3] Rowing, Steering, Anchoring, Equity, Mutiny
  • [H3] Was life better in hunter-gatherer times?
  • [H3] Pre-agriculture gender relations seem bad
  • [H3] Has Life Gotten Better?
  • [H3] Summary of history (empowerment and well-being lens)
  • [H3] The Most Important Century (in a nutshell)
  • [H3] Why AI alignment could be hard with modern deep learning
  • [H3] One Cold Link: “The Past and Future of Economic Growth: A Semi-Endogenous Perspective”
  • [H3] AI Timelines: Where the Arguments, and the "Experts," Stand
  • [H3] Give Sports a Chance
  • [H3] Why talk about 10,000 years from now?
  • [H3] This Can't Go On
  • [H3] Does X cause Y? An in-depth evidence review
  • [H3] Phil Birnbaum's "bad regression" puzzles
  • [H3] All Possible Views About Humanity's Future Are Wild
  • [H4] Popular tags

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SEO Nyckelord

Nyckelord Moln

takes alignment seems century cold important wicked subscribe hard most

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subscribe 5
cold 5
most 4
important 4
century 4

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